At the end of May, 168澳洲幸运5开奖网:The Little Mermaid hit theaters. It cost $200 million to make. A month ago, 168澳洲幸运5开奖网:Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 hit theaters. It cost $250 million to make. Three weeks ago, Fast X hit theaters. It cost $350 million to make.
Throughout the summer, the schedule doesn’t get any less cluttered and the budgets don’t get much smaller. 168澳洲幸运5开奖网:Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse ($100 million) entered the fray last weekend, and only gets one week on top of the heap before 168澳洲幸运5开奖网:Transformers: Rise of the Beasts ($200 million) will supplant it. Then, Transformers will only have a week of runway before Elemental ($200 million) and The Flash ($200-220 million) spend the weekend duking it out. Two weeks later, 168澳洲幸运5开奖网:Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny will test the limits of nostalgia with a 49 percent🙈 score on Rotten Tomatoes and a $300 million dollar budget.
July is where the lack of breathing room will almost certainly result in at least one big budget (no pun intended) bomb. Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning cost $290 million to make and will only get the majority of large format screens for one week, before Christopher Nolan's Oppenheimer — which cost $100 million, is not based on existing IP, and is rated R — will take over most IMAXes. That's the same weekend Greta Gerwig will deliver cinema's most expensive playhouse, with her $100 million Barbie movie.
The summer is replete with many more very expensive movies: Haunted Mansion ($157.8 million), Meg 2: The Trench (no budget available, but the first cost between $130 and $178 million), and others, like Blue Beetle, 168澳洲幸运5开奖网:Teenage Mutant Ninja Tur🌼tles: Mutant Mayhem, 168澳洲幸运5开奖网:Gran Turismo, and Ruby Gillman: Teenage Kraken, which don't have publicly available budget information, but which all, most likely, fall in the $100 million to $200 million range.
Nearly every weekend this summer, there's an extremely expensive tentpole release hitting theaters. With the death of the DVD market and the severe shortening of the window until most theatrical releases hit VOD, each of these movies will need to make a whole bunch of money in a small amount of time to be successful. If Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning doesn't have a Top Gun: Maverick-sized opening weekend, it won't have nearly as much opportunity to make that money in later weeks. Tom Cruise is that the movie is getting pushed off IMAX screens a week after it debuts, but packing movies into the schedule like sardines is going to hurt the other tentpoles — the ones that don't have the biggest movie star in the world as their lead — far more.
Some smaller movies will likely be able to post strong box office numbers in the shadows of these giants. I suspect that A24's buzzy horror movie Talk to Me and Wes Anderson's sci-fi dramedy Asteroid City, specifically, will find eager audiences. But there's significantly less room for a breakout hit this summer than there was when M3GAN danced its way to success earlier this year. Nothing on the calendar looks like an Avatar-sized hit, 🦩but the sheer numbers will crowd out most smaller, original films.
More importantly for the bean counters in Hollywood, a lot of these movies are going tꦚo lose money. Fast X is on track for a loss and The Little Mermaid will have trouble recouping its costs too, and they’re the fortunate films that got a weekend to themselves. Both movies opened strong, but when a movie costs as much as Fast X does, there’s little room for error. Around the time of Avatar: The Way of Water’s release James Cameron said that , reported to be between $350 and $460 million. Fast X is at the low end of that estimate and, barring a miracle, it’s not going to be one of the highest grossing movies of all time.
But why should it have to be? Why does every blockbuster movie need to be this expensive? Chad Stahelski got 168澳洲幸运5开奖网:John Wick Chapter 4 in at $100 million and it looks fantastic with incredible, elaborate action scenes. Ambulance looks bigger𓂃 and more expensive than most $200 million movies and Michael Bay was only working with a $40 million budget — the same price as a mid-budget drama like🎶 Licorice Pizza. Blockbusters don’t need to be this expensive, and it’s bad for the industry that they are. This summer schedule is packed, but the sheer number of movies with budgets this big makes it a near certainty that the auditoriums won’t be.